WASHINGTON (AP) -- When President Barack Obama steps into the
Middle East's political cauldron this coming week, he won't be seeking
any grand resolution for the region's vexing problems.
His
goal will be trying to keep the troubles, from Iran's suspected pursuit
of a nuclear weapon to the bitter discord between Israelis and
Palestinians, from boiling over on his watch.
Obama
arrives in Jerusalem on Wednesday for his first trip to Israel as
president. His first priority will be resetting his oft-troubled
relationship with now-weakened Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
and evaluating the new coalition government Netanyahu laboriously
cobbled together.
The president also will look to boost his appeal to a skeptical Israeli public, as well as to frustrated Palestinians.
"This
is not about accomplishing anything now. This is what I call a down
payment trip," said Aaron David Miller, an adviser on Mideast peace to
six secretaries of state who is now at the Woodrow Wilson International
Center.
For much of Obama's first term, White
House officials saw little reason for him to go to the region without a
realistic chance for a peace accord between the Israelis and
Palestinians. But, with the president's one attempt at a U.S.-brokered
deal thwarted in his first term and the two sides even more at odds, the
White House has shifted thinking.
Officials
now see the lowered expectations as a chance to create space for frank
conversations between Obama and both sides about what it will take to
get back to the negotiating table. The president will use his
face-to-face meetings to "persuade both sides to refrain from taking
provocative unilateral actions that could be self-defeating," said Haim
Malka, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International
Studies.
The trip gives Obama the opportunity
to meet Netanyahu on his own turf, and that could help ease the tension
that has at times defined their relationship.
The
leaders have tangled over Israeli settlements and how to contain Iran's
nuclear ambitions. Netanyahu also famously lectured the president in
front of the media during a 2011 meeting in the Oval Office, and later
made no secret of his fondness for Republican challenger Mitt Romney in
last year's presidential campaign.
Beyond
Mideast peace, the two leaders have similar regional goals, including
ending the violence in Syria and containing the political tumult in
Egypt, which has a decades-old peace treaty with Israel.
The president's trip comes at a time of political change for Israel.
Netanyahu's
power was diminished in January elections, and he struggled to form a
government. He finally reached a deal on Friday with rival parties,
creating a coalition that brings the centrist Yesh Atid and pro-settler
Jewish Home parties into the government and excludes the ultra-Orthodox
Jewish parties for the first time in a decade.
The coalition will be sworn in Monday, two days before Obama's arrival.
White
House press secretary Jay Carney on Saturday congratulated Israelis on
their new government. He said the president looked forward to working
closely with Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders to address common
challenges and advance shared interests in peace and security in the
region.
Ben Rhodes, Obama's deputy national
security adviser, acknowledged that with a new government, "you don't
expect to close the deal on any one major initiative." But he said
starting those conversations now "can frame those decisions that
ultimately will come down the line."
Among those decisions will be next steps in dealing with Iran's disputed nuclear program.
Israel
repeatedly has threatened to take military action should Iran appear to
be on the verge of obtaining a bomb. The U.S. has pushed for more time
to allow diplomacy and economic penalties to run their course, though
Obama insists military action is an option.
The West says Iran's program is aimed at developing weapons technology. Iran says its program is for peaceful energy purposes.
Another central difference between the allies on Iran is the timeline for possible military action.
Netanyahu,
in a speech to the United Nations in September, said Iran was about six
months away from being able to build a bomb. Obama told an Israeli
television station this past week that the U.S. thinks it would take
"over a year or so for Iran to actually develop a nuclear weapon."
Michael
Oren, the Israeli ambassador to the U.S., tried to play down any
division on the Iranian issue ahead of Obama's trip. He said Friday that
"the United States and Israel see many of the same facts about the
Iranian nuclear program and draw many similar conclusions."
Obama's
visit to Israel may quiet critics in the U.S. who interpreted his
failure to travel there in his first term as a sign that he was less
supportive of the Jewish state than his predecessors. Republican
lawmakers levied that criticism frequently during last year's
presidential campaign, despite the fact that GOP President George W.
Bush did not visit Israel until his final year in office.
The
centerpiece of Obama's visit will be a speech in Jerusalem to an
audience mainly of Israeli students. It's part of the president's effort
to appeal to the Israeli public, particularly young people.
He
will make several cultural stops, all steeped in symbolism, in the
region. They include the Holocaust memorial Yad Vashem; Mount Herzl,
where he'll lay wreaths at the graves of Theodor Herzl, the founder of
modern political Zionism, and Yitzhak Rabin, the prime minister who was
assassinated in 1995 by a Jewish extremist who opposed Rabin's policy of
trading land with the Palestinians for peace; and the Church of the
Nativity in Bethlehem, a revered site for Christians.
In
a sign of the close military ties between the U.S. and Israel, Obama
will view an Iron Dome battery, part of the missile defense system the
U.S. has helped pay for.
Traveling to the West
Bank, Obama will meet with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud
Abbas and Prime Minister Salam Fayyad in Ramallah. Obama and Fayyad will
visit a Palestinian youth center, another attempt to reach the region's
young people.
Obama will make a 24-hour stop
in Jordan, an important U.S. ally, where the president's focus will be
on the violence in neighboring Syria. More than 450,000 Syrians have
fled to Jordan, crowding refugee camps and overwhelming aid
organizations.
The White House said Obama had
no plans to visit a refugee camp while in Jordan, though he will be
discussing with government officials how the U.S. can increase its
assistance.
In his talks with Jordan's King
Abdullah, Obama also will try to shore up the country's fledgling
attempts to liberalize its government and stave off an Arab Spring-style
movement similar to the ones that have taken down leaders elsewhere in
the region.
The president's final stop will be in Petra, Jordan's fabled ancient city.
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